Wednesday, September 17, 2008

美拒绝补贴勇气可嘉 谁是下一个“雷曼兄弟”?

全球媒体评雷曼兄弟破产: 华尔街投行为何袖手旁观

 英国《金融时报》:美国拒绝补贴勇气可嘉

英国《金融时报》发表评论称,自3月份贝尔斯登消失之后,如今雷曼兄弟破产,而美国银行出人意料地计划吸纳美林,意味着华尔街五大独立投行中,有三家已在6个月内相继消失。雷曼进入破产程序,是因为美国财政部拒绝补贴纾困行动。这是贝尔斯登事件之后的一次政策变化,与房利美和房地美的国有化也形成强烈反差。这是一个极具勇气的决策。尽管美国财政部的决策带有很大风险,但这种风险也许能产生好的结局。雷曼与贝尔斯登之间的重要区别是:贝尔斯登是突然失败的,而雷曼兄弟挣扎了好几个月。那些本来会因为雷曼破产而陷入困境的机构,已经有时间对冲自己的风险,清理自己的交易。

美国《华尔街日报》:华尔街投行为何对雷曼兄弟袖手旁观?

  雷曼兄弟的路最终走到了尽头──倒得并不惊天动地,却带着丝丝呜咽;残酷的清算命运似乎正等着这家老字号投行。当然,你可以聚集数十位华尔街精英到纽约联邦储备银行开会商讨拯救之道,但他们也无法改写人类不可改变的天性:人的行为都是受自身利益左右的。雷曼兄弟坠入破产保护符合所有人的狭隘利益──除了该行股东、债权人和员工。在距离纽约联储不远的各家投行办公室和会议室中,银行家们可能已经在商谈此事,准备在雷曼兄弟清算之际廉价竞购后者资产。未来几周,华尔街上的秃鹫们会瓜分雷曼兄弟尚带余温的尸体,然后等着更多的不幸者重蹈覆辙。

  英国《卫报》:美国国际集团可能重蹈雷曼兄弟覆辙

  雷曼兄弟的破产在美国引起了震动,雷曼兄弟的轰然倒塌导致数千人丢掉了工作,美国股票市场向下翻滚,并影响到全球金融市场的稳定。美国国际集团(AIG)成为最新一家面临危险的金融机构,美国金融人士在拯救雷曼失败之后,目前正在寻求为美国国际集团提供400亿美元的援助资金,但是他们仍然担心,美国国际集团仍然会重蹈雷曼兄弟的覆辙。

  英国路透社:雷曼破产美林被购华尔街版图剧变

  雷曼破产将成为1990年代垃圾债券公司德崇证券破产以来规模最大的破产案。雷曼兄弟的破产以及美林被美国银行收购,标志着华尔街权力结构的转化:收购了美林证券的美国银行和收购贝尔斯登的摩根大通等大型财团将获得更大的主导权。本周末一系列事件的催化剂是美国财长保尔森的立场,他强烈反对使用政府资金拯救雷曼兄弟。据知情人士介绍,缺乏此类政府担保是巴克莱决定退出购买雷曼的谈判的主要原因。此前,美国政府已经为拯救投行贝尔斯登和房利美、房贷美而屡次出资,但不愿落下鼓励高风险行为的名声。

  英国《泰晤士报》:雷曼兄弟破产英国5000职员丢失工作

  有着158年历史的美国投资银行雷曼兄弟的破产,给全球经济带来了重重阴影。英国职员也受到了重大冲击,雷曼兄弟公司在英国的5000名职员全部丢失工作,成为英国近三年时间来但此失业最多的事件。而在全球,预计雷曼兄弟公司将有2.6万名员工被解职。

  法新社:雷曼倒闭,全球证券市场纷纷跳水

  雷曼投资公司破产后,全球各主要股票市场在开盘后纷纷跳水。在亚洲,日本股票市场星期二早盘下降了5.06%,香港股票市场下降6.1%。在美国,美国道琼斯工业指数下降4.42%,纳斯达克下降3.60%,标准普尔500指数下降4.71%。在欧洲,英国金融时报指数暴跌3.92%至5204.20,巴黎CAC40指数下跌3.78%至4168.97,德国法兰克福DAX指数下降2.74%到6064.16。

  美联社:金融危机是因贪婪造成

  美国金融专家认为,造成华尔街目前状况的主要原因是复杂投资工具的崩溃和纯 粹的贪婪。圣约翰大学法商学教授、律师安东尼-萨比诺称:“我指的贪婪是: 莽撞的从每笔交易中榨取任何可能的利润,不管交易中是否有风险、危险或者决 策失误存在。”也有经济学家认为,现在的金融危机始于最近的次贷危机,但是 其根源却早在几十年前已经种下。罗斯福当政期间,鼓励拥有房产以国家政策的 形式出现。1977年的《社区再投资法》,也鼓励银行满足中低收入人群的贷款需 求。“市场观察”观察网站的首席经济学家欧文-凯勒说:“首先,它们鼓励人 们拥有房产,声称那样才算在社区拥有自己的根,才算是好公民。其次,通常房 产涨价是一个家庭不动产增值的主要渠道。”

  《纽约时报》:金融危机考验下届总统

  华尔街面临的危机给下届总统提出了一个棘手的课题,那就是如何对金融系统拿 出最好的管理办法。尽管奥巴马和麦凯恩都还没有提出具体的计划,但是两人都 已经发表了初步的观点:麦凯恩在佛罗里达的一次活动上指出,美国经济的基础 依然强大,只是因为华尔街某些人和公司的贪婪使经济受到了威胁,需要做出修 补性的处理;奥巴马则认为,根源在于布什政府对金融系统缺乏管理。

  《华盛顿邮报》关注对普通市民投资的影响

  通过采访有关专家,我们试图了解金融市场的动荡对普通美国市民的影响。如果一个人拥有利曼兄弟的股票或者利曼兄弟的共同基金该怎么办?这家公司的 破产对这个市民的投资有什么影响?坎贝尔财富管理公司的凯利-坎贝尔称:“ 你可能不得不注销这支股票,但是不要有什么大的市场举动。这种情况下,我会 坐下来,等待尘埃落定。”有专家称,如果拥有利曼的共同基金,那只能期望这 只是你投资中很小的一部分。

Fed in AIG rescue - $85B loan

Government response reaches dramatic new level: U.S. will take 80% stake in nation's largest insurer to prevent global financial chaos.

By Tami Luhby, CNNMoney.com senior writer

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- In an unprecedented move, the Federal Reserve Board is lending as much as $85 billion to rescue crumbling insurer American International Group, officials announced Tuesday evening.

The Fed authorized the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to lend AIG (AIG, Fortune 500) the funds. In return, the federal government will receive a 79.9% stake in the company.

Officials decided they had to act lest the nation's largest insurer file bankruptcy. Such a move would roil world markets since AIG (AIG, Fortune 500) has $1.1 trillion in assets and 74 million clients in 130 countries.

An eventual liquidation of the company is most likely, senior Fed officials said. But with the government loan, the company won't have to go through a tumultuous fire sale.

"[A] disorderly failure of AIG could add to already significant levels of financial market fragility and lead to substantially higher borrowing costs, reduced household wealth and materially weaker economic performance," the Fed said in a statement.

The bailout marks the most dramatic turn yet in an expanding crisis that started more than a year ago with the mortgage meltdown. The resulting credit crunch is now toppling not only mainstay Wall Street players, but others in the wider financial industry.

The line of credit to AIG, which is available for two years, is designed to help the company meet its obligations, the Fed said. Interest will accrue at a steep rate of 3-month Libor plus 8.5%, which totals 11.31% at today's rates.

AIG will sell certain of its businesses with "the least possible disruption to the overall economy." The government will have veto power over the asset sales and the payment of dividends to shareholders.

The company's management will be replaced, though Fed staffers did not name the new executives. Edward Liddy, the former head of insurer Allstate Corp (ALL, Fortune 500)., will lead the company, the Wall Street Journal reported.

The board will remain. For customers, it will be business as usual, officials said.

Taxpayers will be protected, the Fed said, because the loan is backed by the assets of AIG and its subsidiaries. The loan is expected to be repaid from the proceeds of the asset sales.

The government had resisted throwing a lifeline to AIG, hoping to entice investment firms to set up a $75 billion rescue fund. Officials opted not to bail out Lehman Brothers, which filed for bankruptcy on Monday. But by Tuesday night, it became clearer that the private sector would not step in to help AIG, which has a greater reach into other financial companies and markets than Lehman does.

"We are working closely with the Federal Reserve, the SEC and other regulators to enhance the stability and orderliness of our financial markets and minimize the disruption to our economy," said Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson. "I support the steps taken by the Federal Reserve tonight to assist AIG in continuing to meet its obligations, mitigate broader disruptions and at the same time protect the taxpayers."

Dramatic end, high stakes

The firm's options grew more limited as the day wore on. Its already-battered share price fell another 21% with more than 1 billion shares trading hands, and plummeted another 46% in after-hours trading.

At one point Tuesday morning, shares fell more than 70% - a day after losing 61% of their value.

In a statement late Tuesday night the company said, "AIG is a solid company with over $1 trillion in assets and substantial equity, but it has been recently experiencing serious liquidity issues. We believe the loan, which is backed by profitable, well-capitalized operating subsidiaries with substantial value, will protect all AIG policyholders, address rating agency concerns and give AIG the time necessary to conduct asset sales on an orderly basis."

The company also commended the Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department for "taking action to address AIG's liquidity needs and broader financial market concerns."

Furthermore, the firm expressed its gratitude to New York Governor Paterson, and other NY State as well as Federal officials.

New York State officials, who regulate the insurance titan, had urged the federal government to rescue AIG. The state attempted to help AIG on Monday by allowing it to tap into $20 billion in assets from its subsidiaries if the company could comes up with a comprehensive plan to get the much-needed capital, said a state Insurance Department spokesman.

Pleased with the federal government's response, New York Gov. David Paterson said Tuesday night: "Policy holders will be protected. Jobs will be saved. Business will continue."

The funding became ever more crucial as the insurer was hit Monday night by a series of credit rating downgrades. The cuts meant AIG (AIG, Fortune 500) could be forced to post more than $13 billion in additional collateral.

Late Monday night, Moody's Investors Service and Standard & Poor's Ratings Services each said they had lowered their ratings. A few hours earlier, Fitch Rating had also downgraded AIG, saying the company's ability to raise cash is "extremely limited" because of its plummeting stock price, widening yields on its debt, and difficult capital market conditions.

The downgrade could force AIG to post $13.3 billion of collateral, Fitch said in a statement. Also, the moves would make it more expensive for AIG to issue debt and harder for it to regain the confidence of investors.

All the while, analysts urged the company to unveil its restructuring plan.

"Management needs to address investor concerns now before the market sell-off becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy," Rob Haines, analyst at CreditSights, said Tuesday.

Global ripples

The failure of AIG could have caused unprecedented global ripple effects, said Robert Bolton, managing director at Mendon Capital Advisors Corp. AIG is a major player in the market for credit default swaps, which are insurance-like contracts that guarantee against a company defaulting on its debt. Also, it is a huge provider of life insurance, property and casualty insurance and annuities.

"If AIG fails and can't make good on its obligations, forget it," Bolton said. "It's as big a wave as you're going to see."

AIG has had a very tough year.

Rocked by the subprime crisis, the company has lost more than $18 billion in the past nine months and has seen its stock price fall more than 91% so far this year. It already raised $20 billion in fresh capital earlier this year.

Its troubles stem from its sales of credit default swaps and from its subprime mortgage-backed securities holdings.

AIG has written down the value of the credit default swaps by $14.7 billion, pretax, in the first two quarters of this year, and has had to write down the value of its mortgage-backed securities as the housing market soured.

The insurer could be forced to immediately come up with $18 billion to support its credit swap business if its ratings fall by as little as one notch, wrote John Hall, an analyst at Wachovia, on Monday.

This year's results have also included $12.2 billion in pretax writedowns, primarily because of "severe, rapid declines" in certain mortgage-backed securities and other investments.

The company brought in new management to try to turn the company around. In June, the company tossed out its chief executive, Martin Sullivan, and named AIG chairman Robert Willumstad, who joined AIG in 2006 after serving as president and chief operating officer of Citigroup (C, Fortune 500), in his place. To top of page

千疮百孔 华尔街到了最危急时刻

雷曼破产美林被购 华尔街版图剧变

美国千疮百孔的金融体系正面临前所未有的大动荡。投资银行雷曼兄弟根据破产法第11章申请破产保护,美国银行收购美林银行,而美联储首次表示将首次接受股票作为紧急贷款的担保品。濒临灭顶之灾的保险商美国国际集团(AIG)已请求美联储援助

  在华尔街的黑色星期天,世界十大银行同意建立总额700亿美元的紧急基金,其中任何一家可以使用这笔钱的最多1/3。

  路透社指出,这一连串事件发生在各大银行CEO与监管者在美联储曼哈顿大楼里为期三天会谈之后。这显示,华尔街和华盛顿正达成共识:在信贷危机和楼市低迷之际,有必要对华尔街进行大规模的区分情况救援行动。

  这些事件标志着华尔街权力结构的转化:收购了美林证券的美国银行和收购贝尔斯登的摩根大通等大型财团将获得更大的主导权。“美国金融系统的基础正在进行前所未有的转变,”Knight Equity Markets总经理Peter Kenny说道。“这个新的金融世界即将面临彻底的重构。”

  雷曼破产将成为1990年代垃圾债券公司德崇证券(Drexel Burnham Lambert)破产以来规模最大的破产案。在雷曼申请破产保护之后,标准普尔500指数期货下跌了3.6%,显示出股市周一将大幅低开。美元也大幅下挫。

  随着雷曼和美林出局,美国五大投资银行中的三家已经在过去六个月里完全退出了历史舞台。贝尔斯登今年3月已经被摩根大通以“跳楼价”收购。

谈判裹足不前

  业界周日(14日)上午关注焦点集中在监管者和华尔街各大银行的谈判是否将导致雷曼的出售。雷曼直到最近还是美国第四大投行。

  英国巴克莱银行一度表现出收购雷曼的积极姿态,但是它已经表示退出竞购。人们因此预期,这家投资银行正濒临破产,并导致美联储开放罕见的紧急交易时段,使得445万亿美元衍生品市场上的华尔街交易商能够减少他们投资该公司的仓位。

  周一早晨,美国银行表示同意以500亿美元的价格、全股票形式收购美林,相当于每股29美元,比周五的收盘价几乎高出12美元。

  另据《纽约时报》报道,曾名列世界最大保险商的美国国际集团AIG已经向美联储寻求400亿美元短期融资。

  美联储和美国证监会周日晚相继发布声明,试图提振市场信心。美联储宣布,它将开始接受股票作为担保品,提供紧急贷款。并提出一系列步骤来稳定市场,减轻雷曼破产的影响。另外,美联储还表示将增加国债常规拍卖数额。

  “我们今天发布的这些步骤和私有部门的郑重承诺一道,旨在减轻市场潜在风险和动荡,”美联储主席伯南克说道。但市场参与者对这些措施反应平平。

房地产低迷

  周五有传闻说,美国最大的存贷款机构华盛顿互惠银行与摩根大通谈判被收购事宜,但又有报道予以否认。美林、AIG和华互银行面临相似的问题。他们持有大量房地产相关资产,这些资产价值已经大幅缩水。这三家公司的股价上周都已经跌去1/3强。

  雷曼兄弟因为大量劣质资产而倒闭,主要是地产相关资产。这些资产现价只相当于买入价的零头。

  上周末一系列事件的催化剂是美国财长鲍尔森的立场,他强烈反对使用政府资金拯救雷曼兄弟。据知情人士介绍,缺乏此类政府担保是巴克莱决定退出购买雷曼的谈判的主要原因。

  此前,美国政府已经为拯救投行贝尔斯登和房利美、房贷美而屡次出资,但不愿落下鼓励高风险行为的名声。

格老:美国金融危机百年一遇

  美联储前主席艾伦·格林斯潘14日说,美国正陷于“百年一遇”的金融危机中;这场危机引发经济衰退的可能性正在增大。

  他说,这是他职业生涯中所见最严重的一次金融危机,可能仍将持续相当长时间,并继续影响美国房地产价格。他认为,这场危机将持续成为一股“腐蚀性”力量,直至美国房地产价格稳定下来;危机还将诱发全球一系列经济动荡。

  当被问及美国躲过经济衰退的几率能否超过五成时,格林斯潘回答说,他认为这一几率小于50%。“我不相信,一场百年一遇的金融危机不对实体经济造成重创,我认为这正在发生,”

  格林斯潘还预测,将有更多大型金融机构在这场危机中倒下。